Will there still be frosts in. Common data. Preliminary weather forecast for the winter by months

The weather is one of the most popular topics of conversation in any society, because it is always interesting what tomorrow will bring us, what to wear and whether to take an umbrella with you. Nevertheless, it is much more interesting to know what the winter of 2018 will be like in Russia, whether it will bring a lot of snow, whether it will be frosty or, in the context of global warming, expect warm days and minimal rainfall.

Of course, even modern weather stations will not be able to predict with absolute accuracy what the coming winter will be like. However, based on the statistics of past years and taking into account climate change, some meteorologists are already coming up with stories about what to expect in December-February. To judge what will be the period from the end of autumn to the beginning of spring, the inhabitants are also taken, relying on folk signs.

In general, experts say that the upcoming cold season of the year will not bring any surprises, the weather will be quite familiar and predictable. Despite this, it is necessary to prepare for it in advance, since the first frosts and snowfalls in the Central part of Russia are expected already in mid-November. In the northern latitudes, of course, even earlier - at the end of September-October.

December 2017

The cold season will start with comfortable temperatures. In the Central part of Russia, the thermometer in the daytime will show -5 ... -9 degrees. Approximately the same values ​​can be seen at the end of the month. In the northern regions of the country, temperatures will be lower, so frosts of up to -30 degrees are possible in some places. In the south, on the contrary, in December the thermometer is unlikely to drop below -6 degrees at night. Warming will come in mid-December.

In Moscow, the minimum temperature is expected after the Catholic Christmas. In the daytime it will be up to -8, at night - up to -14. In the northern capital, the picture is similar. As for the amount of precipitation, the excess of the norm is not expected.

About the weather for the New Year

In addition, many are concerned about another question: what will the weather be like on New Year's Eve, because the celebration program, costumes and, often, mood depend on this. This year, nature promises to make a gift - snow will pass in most regions of the Russian Federation. In the Central part of Russia, the thermometer will not fall below -10 degrees. In the southern regions is expected to -5. Well, the northerners will have to freeze, because the temperature regime will be in the range of -20 ... -25 degrees.

In Moscow, on December 31 and January 1, it is worth waiting for -3 during the day and up to -7 degrees at night. It will be slightly colder in St. Petersburg, but in general the temperature will be quite comfortable. Well, in the following holidays, a slight decrease is possible.

Stepping outside at midnight on December 31st, take a look at the sky. If it is strewn with stars, then this is for a rich harvest in the summer.

January 2018

You can safely plan walks and outdoor recreation, since weather forecasters are sure that in the first ten days of the month the average daily temperature will not be lower than -8 degrees (the central part of the Russian Federation). Residents of the southern regions will be even more lucky, it is expected to reach zero there. Well, the northerners, accustomed to frost, will not be able to change thick fur coats for thin down jackets, because it will be up to -30 there.

By mid-January, Russians will feel real Epiphany frosts, even in the central region, thermometers will show up to -25 during the day. At the same time, snowfalls will take place in most of Russia.

By the end of the month, many may think that the winter is losing ground, as a short thaw will come. However, be vigilant, heat will bring with it the activation of viral and infectious diseases.

February 2018

Many look forward to February as they hope it will be warmer and less snowy than December and January. However, it is the last month of the cold season that is considered one of the fiercest months, and in 2018 it will be the same. Sudden temperature changes, heavy rainfall, gusty winds are expected.

At the beginning of the month, residents of the central part of Russia will have to deal with frosts up to 30 degrees. Northerners are waiting for lower temperatures. By the middle of the month, warming is planned - up to -10 (in the central region), and in the south, even up to +10. Well, the end of the month will bring with it truly spring weather. In the north it is warm - up to -5, in the central part - up to +3, and in the south - up to +15 degrees. The amount of precipitation in some areas will exceed the norm.

In Moscow and the northern capital, the weather will be familiar for this time.

Folk omens

Today, the forecast is made on the basis of the results of measurements of various meteorological equipment. But one cannot ignore the folk signs, with the help of which for hundreds of years they have been determining what December-February will turn out to be.

Of course, the modern climate is different from the one in which our grandmothers and great-grandmothers lived, however, some signs do not lose their relevance:

  • Watch the weather in September. It is believed that the warm and dry first month of autumn promises a late arrival of the frost season.
  • If in June-August it often rained, and in September-November, on the contrary, it was warm and dry, then the cold will come late, but spring will not rush too much.
  • When you see a rowan tree, estimate the number of fruits. So, a rich harvest promises a frosty and long winter.
  • It is possible to predict what the period from late autumn to early spring will be like from the autumn harvest. Thin and tender peel on vegetables (carrots, potatoes, onions) promises warm December, January and February. But if the peel is thick and rough, then prepare fur coats and warm shoes, as the winter will be cold and long. By the way, this is also indicated by the rich harvest of mushrooms, and the abundance of acorns in the fall.
  • Have you seen a titmouse? Get ready for the cold. These birds are true harbingers of frosty days.
  • Detect mosquitoes in late autumn - to frost.

  • Remember the date when the first snow fell. It is believed that the real winter will come exactly in 40 days. Moreover, if the trees did not have time to throw off all the foliage, but were already covered with snow, it will be fierce.
  • Late leaf fall is a harbinger of a harsh and long winter.
  • December 1 is the Day of Plato and Roman, what will this day be like, wait for such a winter.
  • If it snowed on December 12, then snowfalls will not stop for a week.

Some meteorologists believe that it is not worth predicting the weather from signs, since any kind of superstition is nothing more than a reason to laugh.

Some interesting winter facts

  • Oymyakon is rightfully considered the coldest Russian city. The minimum temperature that was recorded here is -71.2. It happened in 1938. On this occasion, even a monument was erected. On average, in the cold season, the thermometer shows -55, and the average annual temperature does not rise above -15.5.
  • In the capital, a record low temperature was recorded in 1940. The temperature dropped to minus 42. Severe frosts lasted almost three months. Serious damage was done to agriculture (trees froze), and pipes burst in Moscow apartments. Many businesses were shut down as city residents got frostbite while commuting to work or home.
  • Muscovites also remember the winter of 2011, with its freezing rain. The elements raged for two days, and then the sub-zero temperature (about -25) led to icing and the subsequent collapse of trees and power lines.
  • The warmest winter in Moscow, according to Rosgidromedtsentr, was in 2015. At that time, in the North-West of the country, Siberia and the Far East, the average temperature was -4-7 degrees, which was a record for the Russian Federation. And on the Black Sea coast in February, the mercury column approached +20.
  • The diameter of the largest snowflake in Russia, which was not only seen, but also measured, was 12 centimeters. It happened on April 30, 1944 in Moscow. But the absolute record holder is still a snowflake, discovered more than 130 years ago (01/28/1887) in the USA. Its diameter is 38 cm and its thickness is 20 cm.

  • More than 50% of the world's population (approximately 4 billion) have never (!) seen real snow.
  • Once it snowed even in the Sahara. You could see this event on February 18, 1979.
  • In 1911, the frosts in the United States were so severe that even Niagara Falls could not resist and froze over.
  • The warmest winter, of course, is at the equator, but Australia (in the southern part) and some African countries (in the northern part of the globe) are not much behind.
  • Kyonophobia is the name given to the fear of snow and cold.

Of course, each of us can try to predict what the coming winter will be like. Nevertheless, we want to remind you that neither modern equipment, nor long-term observations of the climate, and even more so, folk signs and superstitions are not able to accurately tell what the weather will be like. You can find out only on the eve of the calendar onset of the cold season. We can only hope that he will be generous for warmer days!

Video: how to determine the weather in winter according to folk signs

He talks about the maximum minus of twenty-five degrees below zero. The average temperature should not exceed twenty degrees of frost.

It is also worth noting the possibility of a large amount of precipitation. Utilities will have to try to clean the roads of the city. The greatest precipitation is planned for the second half of the month. New Year promises to be snowy.

Forecasters advise not to plan large-scale trips for the month of December. In December, strong gusts of wind, snow blizzards and sub-zero temperatures are possible. This weather can ruin any trip.

Weather forecast for the month of January in Moscow

Weather forecast for winter 2016-2017 in Moscow (for the month of January):

As a rule, January is the coldest month of winter. It is for January that weather forecasters promise incredible snowfalls and blizzards. But not at this time. The weather should be much better than in December. Frosts will become a little softer, and the wind will be weaker.

The upcoming 2017 will be marked by only a slight drizzle. The sky will be very clear. It's just the perfect weather to finally go out with friends and have a snow fight. The weatherman is predicting snow. And all this in the first half of the month.



The second half of January will be somewhat reminiscent of December. In order to go to work or study, you will have to pretty warm up. Frosts will be severe, and the wind will pierce the body. But do not get upset in advance. This weather should not last long. As soon as Epiphany comes, you can exhale - everything will work out and nothing can interfere with walking with friends. The maximum possible minus on the nineteenth of January is seventeen degrees below zero.

Weather for February in Moscow

Weather forecast for winter 2016-2017 in Moscow (for the month of February):

During the day the frost will not rise higher than fifteen degrees. The average temperature is fifteen degrees below zero. But at night the thermometer can drop to twenty degrees below zero.
In February, sunny weather will prevail. It's time to take a walk with friends or loved one in the fresh air.

What is the expected temperature in winter throughout Russia?

Looking at the map of Russia, weather forecasters promise that the first winter month will be quite cold. From the first to the fifteenth of December frost can reach eighteen degrees. Snow is possible only in some areas. On New Year's Eve, the temperature will rise noticeably. In addition, weather forecasters are predicting heavy snowfall.




The real winter in Russia will come only in the month of January. From the fifteenth to the thirtieth of January will be marked by fairly severe frosts up to twenty degrees. The maximum minus is thirty-two degrees of frost. A slight warming is expected by the end of the month. It will affect only some regions of Russia. The first half of January will be marked by positive temperatures.

2. Vitamin D will save the body.

It is this vitamin that is able to protect the body from possible irritants. Before you start taking them, you should consult with your general practitioner. Most of the vitamin is made on an oily basis.

3. Sports and injections.

It may seem strange, but the flu shot is directly related to exercise. Before you make an injection, you should definitely visit the gym. After working out on your favorite simulator, invisible gaps will appear in the muscles. They will strengthen the body's immune defenses.

4. Temperature is not a reason to refuse training.

What to do if the temperature has already risen? Do not postpone sports for later. It is better to do a little exercise right now. Naturally, the temperature should not exceed a temperature of thirty-seven degrees. At the same time, you should not overexert yourself. This can be detrimental to health.

The Russian people are not accustomed to prolonged heat, so they are already thinking about the coming winter. When and what kind of winter will be, many are interested. It is clear that the exact forecast for the cold season in Russia can hardly be known in advance. Even the well-known meteorological center "Phobos" is silent. Of course, our story about when winter will come is preliminary.

According to forecasts of meteorologists, the winter promises to be more stable than last year. The long-term forecast suggests that most of Russia will experience a moderately cold winter, without sharp changes in day and night temperatures. Winter will come early, and the first snowfalls can be seen already in early November. Siberia, the middle lane and the Far East will be covered with a white blanket before the onset of the calendar winter. The first snow is expected to be quite plentiful, and the first month of winter will be mild and not very cold. It will be replaced by frosty January.

The biggest frosts are expected in mid-February, although a thaw is predicted at the end of the month. In general, in contrast to the winter of 2015-2016, precipitation will decrease. "Dry" weather will take most of the cold season. Most of the precipitation will take place from late November to mid-December. It will become quite cold already in mid-November, so we will meet the first months of winter already “prepared”. A sharp jump in temperatures with the beginning of the calendar winter is not expected.

Weather in Moscow - what to expect in winter?

Considering the annual weather observations, it can be assumed that on the first day of winter in Moscow there will be relatively large daily temperature fluctuations:

  • in the afternoon - minus 10;
  • at night - minus 18.

After the first decade of December, it will become a little warmer. The temperature outside will rise to minus 5-7 degrees. From the middle of the month it will again get colder to minus 16 during the day and 21 degrees at night. This weather will last until the New Year.

January

  • On the holiday itself, the temperature is expected to rise again to minus 8 during the day and minus 14 at night. The amount of precipitation will not exceed the norm and most of the month, the weather will be sunny.
  • The weather in Moscow for the New Year holidays will delight both residents of the capital and guests with moderate frosty weather down to minus 14 and light snow. At Christmas, the temperature will increase slightly - up to minus 12 degrees during the day and minus 19 at night.
  • The weather in the second half of the month will not be so desirable. Frosts will intensify, and the temperature will drop to 22-25 degrees below zero.
  • At the end of January, there is a slight increase in temperature during the day and possible precipitation. The weather will become cloudy and windy.

February

  • The first week of February will bring unusual warmth for winter. Daytime temperature will not fall below 8-10 degrees, and clear and calm weather is guaranteed.
  • The second decade of February will show what the real "Russian winter" is. The frost will become stronger and reach -20 degrees Celsius during the day. Despite such a jump, winter will please you with bright sun and crisp snow under your feet.
  • The last days of the month the weather will change dramatically and in the afternoon the thermometer will show 3-6 degrees. After the past frosts, it will seem that the real spring is coming. It's time for heavy snowfalls.

What will be the winter of 2017 in St. Petersburg

The weather forecast for the northern capital is fundamentally different from forecasts in Russia. Forecasters are expecting a warm winter here. A stable, about minus 7-10 degrees, temperature is predicted. However, Petersburgers know what "warm" weather means. The specificity of the city is such that with high humidity and strong winds, even -5 ° C feel like -20 degrees. Also, do not forget about the wind from the sea, which is almost always present in the northern capital. Therefore, the feeling of cold only intensifies.

The first month of winter will begin with a slight cooling compared to November, although the wind blowing from the sea will make this difference barely noticeable. The weather will be damp, dank with a temperature of:

  • in the afternoon: plus 3 - minus 2 degrees;
  • at night: minus 3.

There will be light rain or sleet.

January

  • In January, immediately after the New Year holidays, frosts will begin to grow stronger, and by mid-January they will reach minus 10 degrees.
  • In the middle of the month there will be a traditional thaw with a piercing wind and a temperature of minus 4-6 degrees. Dampness and wind will penetrate to the bones of everyone who is lightly dressed.
  • At the end of the month, the usual temperature will again be set at 0 during the day and minus 2 at night.

February

  • February will show all the capriciousness of St. Petersburg weather. The beginning of the month will be frosty with a temperature of 10 -12 degrees below zero during the day with a slight difference at night.
  • By February 15, the day will again warm up to 2-3 degrees with a minus, the nights will remain cold. These days there will be jumps in atmospheric pressure. The weather will change in minutes. A relatively clear day will turn into a chilly evening with sleet and wind.
  • At the end of the month, the temperature can stop at zero and remotely “smell of spring”.

Such unstable weather is expected in St. Petersburg. Although, the inhabitants of the northern capital have long been accustomed to the differences and have a great New Year's holidays, despite any vagaries of nature.

Winter weather forecast for the Urals

Here, the first month of winter will be distinguished by a rather frosty “temperament”. The average temperatures for the whole of December are as follows:

  • in the afternoon - minus 15;
  • at night - below minus 20.

New Year's Eve will mark a stronger cold snap - up to minus 25 degrees. In the northern regions, the thermometer will show about minus 30C. As for precipitation, large snowdrifts can be observed in the Urals already in mid-December.

January

  • In the first days of January it will be dry and frosty, so Christmas holidays can be devoted to trips out of town. Heavy snow is also not expected.
  • Immediately after Christmas Eve, frosts will intensify significantly - up to minus 25 during the day. The wind will also get stronger and snowfalls are possible. Blizzards and snowdrifts can complicate traffic on the roads of the Urals.

February

  • In early February, it will become slightly warmer, which will be an ideal condition for rainfall. Snowfalls can last up to two or three days, but the monthly rate is unlikely to exceed the annual expected "threshold".
  • In the second half of the month the weather will show its severity. Sun and frost are the most characteristic feature of this season.
  • The last decade will be marked by warming up to 10 degrees and the beginning of heavy snow.

Before you analyze when winter will come in 2016-2017, you need to understand that the forecast of meteorologists is not accurate, and is based on weather observations in recent years. More detailed information can be obtained only 2 - 3 days before the date of interest.

When planning business, trips, important events, a person often focuses on weather conditions during this period. That is why it is important to know what the winter of 2016/2017 will be like. Forecasters try to provide the most reliable and accurate information as early as possible.

Weather in winter 2016/2017

It is impossible to make an accurate weather forecast for such a long period of time. However, weather forecasters give a general idea of ​​​​the weather for the winter of 2016/2017. To rely on this information or not - everyone decides for himself. These data are collected on the basis of long-term observations and daily statistics.

The meteorological center reports that the winter is expected to be cold but dry. Rainfall will be less than last year. There will be periods of severe cooling, alternating with warming and snowfalls. But each month has its own characteristics, so a detailed forecast by month is given below.

December

The first snow is expected at the end of November - winter will start earlier than expected. And in the first half of December, the snow will fall again, and the temperature will drop. At the beginning of the first winter month, the daytime temperature will be set at -10˚С. But at night the thermometer drops to -20˚С.

The second part of the month will be warmer. During the day, temperature fluctuations will vary from -5 to -7˚С, and at night they will drop to -13˚С. At the end of December, pleasant and comfortable winter weather is expected: soft snow will fall, and the thermometer will be in the range from -9 to -12˚С during the day and from -14 to -16˚С at night. It's time to go choose!

January

January promises to be drier than December, but no less cool. In the first half of the month there will be precipitation in the form of sleet, and starting from the second half of the precipitation, a minimum amount is expected.

In early January, the thermometer will be within -10˚С during the day, and at night it will drop to -19˚С. In the second half of January, a noticeable cooling is expected: in the daytime the temperature will reach -20˚С, and at night the thermometer mark will reach -30˚С. But serious frosts will not last long: at the end of January, warming will come. As the weather gets warmer, snowfalls will also begin.

February

Traditionally, February is the coldest and frostiest winter month. And winter 2016/2017 in Russia is no exception. Despite the warming that began at the end of January and reached -5˚С in the first part of February, severe frosts will begin by the middle of the month. At this time, the thermometer will drop to -32˚С at night. But even during the day it will not be much warmer: the temperature will rise only by a few degrees. However, the -28˚C temperature will not last long, only a few days.

By the end of the month it will get warmer, but not much: at night the temperature will stay at -25˚С, and during the day it will rise to -20˚С.

As for precipitation, snowfalls are expected in the first half of February, alternating with sunny days. And the second half of the month will pass without significant precipitation.

To safely survive the winter, you need to prepare for it in advance. That is why every year everyone wonders what winter will be like this year. Some begin to prepare for frost even in summer. In order for the preparation for winter to be successful, you need to know what kind of winter this year will actually be.

If the frosts are not great, then you can not buy special winter clothes. If the winter promises to be very cold, it is necessary to close up all the cracks in the house and buy a couple of heating appliances. Also preparing for winter depends on where you live. For example, winters in the European part of Russia are quite warm, which cannot be said, for example, about the Far East. If you live in a large city and you have little money, you can not insulate your car, but use the metro and public transport to get around the city.

Today, few people know what the winter of 2016-2017 will be like in Russia according to weather forecasts, since major meteorological services have not yet made their official statements. However, something is already known and it will be useful for everyone to get acquainted with this information.

common data

Although the forecast for the winter of 2016-2017 from the Hydrometeorological Center for Russia is not yet ready, the analysis of data from some private meteorological organizations allows us to make a preliminary forecast. After summing up the data, we got the following information:

  • Winter will be moderately cold, with little daily temperature fluctuations.
  • The first snow will fall in early November. Snowfalls will end at the end of December, but the snow will last until spring. Long snowfalls are expected in Siberia almost all winter.
  • A mild December will give way to a rather harsh dry January, which in turn will give way to a rather mild February.

Now you know what the winter of 2016-2017 will be like in Russia in general. Now let's take a closer look at each month.

December forecast

December promises to be quite a varied month. This month's highlights are:

  • Snow will fall in the first 10 days of December. It will also snow on New Year's Eve.
  • The winds will not be too strong, moderate.
  • Ice is expected in all Russian cities starting from the first days of winter.
Temperature:
  • In the first 10 days: from -12 to -9 Celsius in Central Russia, in Siberia - from -18 to -24 Celsius.
  • In the second 10 days: from -14 to -5 Celsius in Central Russia, in Siberia - from -18 to -24 Celsius.
  • In the third 10 days: from -15 to -8 Celsius in Central Russia, in Siberia - from -21 to -31 Celsius.

January forecast

The forecast for the winter of 2016-2017 tells us that January is expected to be dry and cold. Precipitation will stop, but the thermometers will drop very low. Doctors advise in January to spend more time at home, which are recommended to be well heated. Due to low temperatures, an increase in colds is expected. Due to ice, an increase in bone fractures and transport accidents is expected. Road officials advise against traveling long distances, and doctors advise increasing the amount of calcium in the diet so that in the event of a broken limb, the body recovers as quickly as possible. Other features of the month:

  • There will be practically no precipitation, except for Siberia - here precipitation will continue until the end of February.
  • The winds will pick up a little, but in general no major storms are expected.
Temperature:
  • In the first 10 days: from -18 to -12 Celsius in Central Russia, in Siberia - from -25 to -20 Celsius.
  • In the second 10 days: from -23 to -15 Celsius in Central Russia, in Siberia - from -35 to -25 Celsius.
  • In the third 10 days: from -20 to -14 Celsius in Central Russia, in Siberia - from -33 to -23 Celsius.

February Forecast

Now, in general terms, we will describe the last month of winter in order to complete the forecast of what the winter of 2016-2017 will be like in Russia. Forecasters expect a slow rise in temperature in all regions of Russia. Also, somewhere around February 13-17, a short-term sharp drop in temperature is expected, which will not last long. In addition to snowstorms, small snowstorms are expected during this period. In early February, snow will fall again, which will also last until the beginning of spring. Doctors advise these days also to appear less on the street, especially between February 13 and 17. Other features:

  • Precipitation will again fall in Central Russia. In Siberia, only a slight increase in precipitation is expected.
  • There will be practically no winds, except for the period from February 13 and 17, when weather forecasters expect snowstorms and snow storms.
  • Ice is expected in all Russian cities this month.
Temperature:
  • In the first 10 days: from -15 to -10 Celsius in Central Russia, in Siberia - from -20 to -15 Celsius.
  • In the second 10 days: from -10 to -5 Celsius in Central Russia, in Siberia - from -16 to -10 Celsius.
  • In the third 10 days: from -7 to -3 Celsius in Central Russia, in Siberia - from -12 to -5 Celsius.

A few words about spring

Let's say a few more words about the beginning of spring. In the second half of February, there will be a sharp short-term cooling, then the temperature will gradually rise. By the time March begins, the negative temperature will almost completely subside, which means that spring on the territory of the Russian Federation will be early. Precipitation and wind, on the contrary, will intensify, and rains with thunderstorms are expected in the Central and Western parts of the Russian Federation, and snow and snowstorms are expected in Siberia. However, this will not last long - by the end of March, spring will finally take its toll and low temperatures with precipitation will change to relatively high ones with warm sunny days.

Outcome

Summarize. The meteorological forecast for the winter of 2016-2017 tells us that the winter will be moderate. The first and last months are expected to have heavy rainfall with light winds and relatively high temperatures. January promises to be more brutal - the temperature will drop to -24 Celsius, light snow storms are expected. To safely survive the winter, prepare warm clothes and follow the advice of doctors. Refrain from long trips. Ice increases the risk of an accident. It is better for pensioners to stay at home in winter.

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